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Review on predictions of future insect distributions under climate change

Olivia Bates has published a new review paper on studies predicting range changes of insects in Diversity and Distributions.

While introduced species were predicted to increase more frequently in range than native species, both increases and decreases were predicted in both groups, highlighting species-specific changes. However, large differences in study methodology hinder our ability to compare predicted responses across species. Predictions of future ranges may be driven by factors such as species’ physiology and geographic distribution. However, there is a large variety in predicted changes between insect species, and it is unknown to what extent these differences among species are due to the specific set of methodologies and data used to model the species’ distribution, given that individual studies vary greatly in regard to the methodologies and data used to make predictions.We therefore discuss these differences and how they may influence range predictions.

Link to paper here.

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