Emmanuel Nduwayezu: Rainfall variability modelling and mapping and global risk evaluation in Rwanda.

Emmanuel Nduwayezu
Directors: Prof. Michel Jaboyedoff, Prof. Mikhail Kanevski.

Research project summary description

  • The high population densities of Rwanda can be explained by climatic conditions, especially rainfall conditions. Precipitations have been generally quite good, and have contributed to define an agricultural calendar with two harvest seasons in a civil year.
  • With the exacerbation of extreme weather events in recent years and increased flooding events and landslides, what extent of precipitation variability constitute a risk factor to natural hazard for a territory at the limit of its caring capacity (population densities in a mountainous area) with the current conditions of its internal and external factors (physical and socio-economic conditions)?