{"id":10357,"date":"2026-01-27T10:20:31","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T09:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/?p=10357"},"modified":"2026-01-27T10:20:34","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T09:20:34","slug":"nursel-alkoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/2026\/01\/nursel-alkoc\/","title":{"rendered":"Nursel Alko\u00e7"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Non-response and biased estimates of political behaviour in Swiss opinion surveys. Comparisons and Explanations<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p><em>Titulaire d\u2019un master en m\u00e9thodologie d\u2019enqu\u00eate et opinion publique obtenu conjointement aux universit\u00e9s de Neuch\u00e2tel, Lausanne et Lucerne, Nursel Alko\u00e7 a travaill\u00e9 en tant qu\u2019assistante dipl\u00f4m\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019Institut des sciences sociales de l\u2019Unil et \u00e0 la Fondation <\/em><em>suisse pour la recherche en sciences sociales <\/em><em>(FORS), \u00e0 l\u2019Universit\u00e9 de Lausanne, entre 2021 et 2025. Elle a soutenu sa th\u00e8se le 31 octobre 2025. Elle est actuellement m\u00e9thodologue d\u2019enqu\u00eate au sein du Programme G\u00e9n\u00e9rations et Genre (GGP) aux Pays-Bas.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cette th\u00e8se s\u2019inscrit dans les d\u00e9bats scientifiques relatifs \u00e0 la qualit\u00e9 et \u00e0 la repr\u00e9sentativit\u00e9 des enqu\u00eates d\u2019opinion publique. Elle examine l\u2019impact des biais de non-r\u00e9ponse et l\u2019estimation des comportements politiques, en mettant en \u00e9vidence la sous-repr\u00e9sentation syst\u00e9matique des individus politiquement d\u00e9sengag\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sur le plan th\u00e9orique, la th\u00e8se d\u00e9fend l\u2019id\u00e9e que la non-r\u00e9ponse n\u2019est pas distribu\u00e9e de mani\u00e8re al\u00e9atoire, mais qu\u2019elle est structur\u00e9e par l\u2019engagement politique et les choix de conception des enqu\u00eates. Sur le plan m\u00e9thodologique, elle s\u2019appuie sur plusieurs enqu\u00eates suisses, Selects, ESS et MOSAiCH, et mobilise des comparaisons inter-enqu\u00eates, des donn\u00e9es administratives et une exp\u00e9rience randomis\u00e9e afin d\u2019\u00e9valuer l\u2019ampleur et les cons\u00e9quences de ces biais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Les r\u00e9sultats montrent que les sondages d&rsquo;opinion publique ont tendance \u00e0 surestimer la participation politique et \u00e0 produire des repr\u00e9sentations biais\u00e9es des pr\u00e9f\u00e9rences politiques. Au-del\u00e0 de ce diagnostic, la th\u00e8se propose des recommandations pour am\u00e9liorer la repr\u00e9sentativit\u00e9 des sondages et plaide une approche plus r\u00e9flexive et inclusive de la recherche par sondage.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Non-response and biased estimates of political behaviour in Swiss opinion surveys. Comparisons and Explanations<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":163,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19451],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-theses"],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false,"hitmag-landscape":false,"hitmag-featured":false,"hitmag-grid":false,"hitmag-list":false,"hitmag-thumbnail":false,"gform-image-choice-sm":false,"gform-image-choice-md":false,"gform-image-choice-lg":false,"mailpoet_newsletter_max":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"sschlat1","author_link":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/author\/sschlat1\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Non-response and biased estimates of political behaviour in Swiss opinion surveys. Comparisons and Explanations","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/163"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10357"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10357\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10358,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10357\/revisions\/10358"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/esspace\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}