{"id":1531,"date":"2024-06-24T10:58:34","date_gmt":"2024-06-24T08:58:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/?page_id=1531"},"modified":"2024-09-23T17:45:31","modified_gmt":"2024-09-23T15:45:31","slug":"resultats-4c","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/projets\/4c\/resultats-4c\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9sultats du projet 4\u00b0C ou +"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Que seront les <strong>paysages suisses<\/strong> dans un futur plus chaud?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center has-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-elements-c3ced3566082151c7156ec2596b5de75\" style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgb(6,147,227) 0%,rgb(155,81,224) 81%,rgb(155,81,224) 100%)\">Visualisations tangibles d&rsquo;un avenir plus chaud<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-91faa650481519ed1f08ffd54fe28466\" style=\"color:#a144f3\">Sc\u00e9narios paysagers en vid\u00e9o<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">En montagne<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Sc\u00e9narios paysagers +4 \u00b0C - montagne\" width=\"580\" height=\"435\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0mzerniFkMg?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Le paysage dans les montagnes suisses. \u00c0 quoi ressemblera-t-il s&rsquo;il fait 4 degr\u00e9s de plus?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">En plaine<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Sc\u00e9narios paysagers +4 \u00b0C - plaine\" width=\"580\" height=\"435\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Qj9hxkxrIZ8?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Le paysage dans les plaines suisses. \u00c0 quoi ressemblera-t-il s&rsquo;il fait 4 degr\u00e9s de plus?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-b4af110b8cb1dd3d1364c97562e81327\" style=\"color:#a144f3\">Visualisations navigables<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c0 quoi ressemblera le paysage suisse lorsqu&rsquo;il fera 4\u00b0C de plus en moyenne?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column has-background is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"background-color:#a144f224;flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Agir ou r\u00e9agir?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230; si nous n&rsquo;entreprenons rien aujourd&rsquo;hui et ne nous adaptons que tardivement et de mani\u00e8re <strong>r\u00e9active<\/strong>?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">OU<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230; si nous nous adaptons \u00e0 temps et de mani\u00e8re <strong>proactive<\/strong> en prenant des mesures proches de la nature?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-center is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/viergrad.envidat.ch\" style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgb(6,147,227) 0%,rgb(155,81,224) 50%,rgb(155,81,224) 100%)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vers la visualisation<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-2a2659673540d9ad22dc5d5fbdd50ea1\" style=\"color:#a144f3\">Sc\u00e9narios sous forme narrative et imag\u00e9e<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p>Dans le <strong>rapport du WSL<\/strong>  intitul\u00e9  \u00ab\u00a0+4 \u00b0C et plus: les paysages suisses face au changement climatique\u00a0\u00bb, des sc\u00e9narios des effets possibles du changement climatique sur le paysage vous sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s sous forme narrative et imag\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left has-border-background-color has-background\">Tobias S., Siegrist E., B\u00fctikofer, L., B\u00fcrgi M., Liechti K., Reynard E., Guisan A., Urbach D., Randin C. (2023) +4 \u00b0C et plus: les paysages suisses face au changement climatique. WSL Ber. 140. 53 p.&nbsp;doi.org\/10.55419\/wsl:35310<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-center is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/files\/2024\/06\/Rapprt140_4deg_WSL_Berichte_r.pdf\" style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgb(6,147,227) 0%,rgb(155,81,224) 50%,rgb(155,81,224) 100%)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">T\u00e9l\u00e9charger<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color\" style=\"color: #a144f3\">Autres r\u00e9sultats<\/h3>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-full\"><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1500\" height=\"900\" src=\"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/files\/2024\/06\/Entremont_Evolution.gif\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1773\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u00ab\u00a0Evolution du paysage dans l&rsquo;Entremont mod\u00e9lis\u00e9 avec r\u00e9chauffement climatique progressif jusqu\u2019\u00e0 +4\u00b0C en 2100. \u00a9 Luca B\u00fctikofer<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"366\" height=\"525\" src=\"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/files\/2024\/06\/Legende-GIF-Entremont-Evolution.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1872\" style=\"width:355px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/files\/2024\/06\/Legende-GIF-Entremont-Evolution.png 366w, https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/files\/2024\/06\/Legende-GIF-Entremont-Evolution-209x300.png 209w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 366px) 100vw, 366px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p>Dans une <strong>publication<\/strong> apparue dans Scientific Data, l&rsquo;\u00e9volution du paysage est mod\u00e9lis\u00e9e pour la Suisse, pour trois pas de temps au cours du 21\u00e8me si\u00e8cle, selon trois sc\u00e9narios de r\u00e9chauffement climatique et \u00e0 une r\u00e9solution de 100 m\u00e8tres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left has-border-background-color has-background\">B\u00fctikofer L., Adde A., Urbach D., Tobias S., Huss M.,  Guisan A., Randin C. (2024) High-resolution land use\/cover forecasts for Switzerland in the 21st century. Scientific Data 11:231.\u00a0doi.org\/10.1038\/s41597-024-03055-z<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-center is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background-color has-text-color has-background has-link-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41597-024-03055-z\" style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,rgb(6,147,227) 0%,rgb(155,81,224) 50%,rgb(155,81,224) 100%)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">T\u00e9l\u00e9charger<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Que seront les paysages suisses dans un futur plus chaud? Visualisations tangibles d&rsquo;un avenir plus chaud Sc\u00e9narios paysagers en vid\u00e9o En montagne En plaine Visualisations navigables \u00c0 quoi&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1002816,"featured_media":0,"parent":615,"menu_order":2,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-full-width.php","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1531","page","type-page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1002816"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1531"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1531\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1934,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1531\/revisions\/1934"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/615"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/bluemount\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}