{"id":518,"date":"2022-04-04T19:30:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-04T17:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/?p=518"},"modified":"2022-04-26T09:56:46","modified_gmt":"2022-04-26T07:56:46","slug":"reflexions-autour-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/reflexions-autour-du-dernier-rapport-du-giec\/","title":{"rendered":"Thoughts about the latest IPCC report"},"content":{"rendered":"

Today the 3rd<\/sup> part of the 6th<\/sup> IPCC report is released. Like all the previous reports, the science tells us unequivocally that we are continuing in the wrong direction. Unfortunately, we will not achieve the Paris Climate Agreement to which we are committed, despite the fact that it was negotiated and happily agreed by 196 nations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The agreement set a safe target of keeping the global average temperature below 2\u00b0C (ideally 1.5\u00b0C) compared to the pre-industrial period. To achieve this, the solution is clear: as the IPCC report once again points out, we must stop using fossil fuels immediately, in some cases even before the economic life of existing infrastructure has ended. The report goes further, and offers some clues (and therefore signs of hope) by indicating: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. that the cost of renewables and energy storage continues to fall dramatically, making low-carbon energy systems more than competitive with fossil fuels (see figure SPM.4<\/a> in the Summary for Policy Makers); <\/li>
  2. the need to accelerate the production of renewable energy, while lowering our overall energy demand, a strategy that is possible through equitable energy sufficiency and efficiency policies; and <\/li>
  3. that we need to focus on strategies other than biomass alone to remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere (e.g. by changing our diets and increasing respect for biodiversity).<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n
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    \"\"
    Figure SPM.4: Unit cost reductions and adoption in dynamic energy technologies.<\/strong> The upper panel shows levelised costs of electricity (LCOE) for rapidly changing mitigation technologies. This figure include photovoltaics (PV), onshore wind, offshore wind, concentrating solar power (CSP) and batteries and electric vehicles (EVs). Solid blue lines indicate average unit cost in each year. Light blue shaded areas show the range between the 5th and 95th percentiles in each year. Grey shading indicates the range of fossil fuel (coal and gas) LCOE in 2020 (corresponding to USD55-148 per MWh). LCOE allows consistent comparison of cost trends across a diverse set of energy technologies to be made; it does not include environmental and does not reflect variation in the value of electricity over time and space.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

    Ce rapport est d\u2019une grande utilit\u00e9, car il fait des propositions concr\u00e8tes, et donc conf\u00e8re \u00e0 chacune et chacun un cap \u00e9vident \u00e0 suivre – et les responsabilit\u00e9s y aff\u00e9rentes. Ici, j\u2019aimerais r\u00e9fl\u00e9chir avec vous \u00e0 celles de l\u2019UNIL. La transition \u00e9cologique, qui comprend la transition (ou, d\u00e9sormais, transformation) \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, fait d\u2019ailleurs partie de ses cinq enjeux soci\u00e9taux prioritaires. Atteindre l\u2019objectif de l\u2019Accord de Paris me semble \u00eatre un bon cadre de d\u00e9part. La question est alors simple : l\u2019empreinte carbone de notre activit\u00e9 nous permet-elle d\u2019y rentrer ? Pour y r\u00e9pondre, basons-nous sur the estimates made by UNIL since 2013.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Although incomplete, this data states that we produced about 16,500 tons of \"CO2<\/sub> equivalent\" in 2019, compared to 9,600 in 2020, when the university was largely closed due to the health crisis. Knowing that a production of one tonne of CO\u2082 equivalent (per person) by 2050, and eventually net zero, would bring us within the Paris Agreement target, and that the 22,000 people (about 17,000 students and 5,000 researchers, teachers and PAT members) who make up the university community do not frequent the campus 365 days a year, it has to be said that our carbon footprint is still far too high. In addition, these estimates are incomplete, as they do not include essential activities such as professional mobility (which can have an impact of more than 50% on the results of this same research) and the private activities of each individual. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    We still have a lot of work to do on many issues, such as energy consumption and storage, our relationship with food on campus, professional mobility, use of work space, management of IT equipment, management of financial assets... Although the challenge is enormous, I am sure that we can collectively achieve it. As the IPCC report shows, we have no choice. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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    You can also read<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

    Nous ne sommes pas du tout sur la bonne trajectoire. La bonne nouvelle, c\u2019est que toutes les options sont \u00e0 notre port\u00e9e, mais une transformation radicale est indispensable.<\/em><\/p>L’interview de la prof. Julia Steinberger, sur le site CLIMACT<\/a><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

    <\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Today the 3rd<\/sup> part of the 6th<\/sup> IPCC report is released. Like all the previous reports, the science tells us unequivocally that we are continuing in the wrong direction...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1001291,"featured_media":528,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"template-full-width.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-518","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-uncategorized"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001291"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=518"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wp.unil.ch\/blogdurecteur\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}